← Back to fixtures

Torino vs Frosinone

Sat 30 Jan 2027, 00:00 UTC · Round 22 · Data confidence: OK

Match Result (1X2)

Torino win: 36.6%

Draw: 34.5%

Frosinone win: 28.9%

Predicted: Torino

Both Teams to Score

Yes

Probability of Yes: 58.9%

Total Goals

Under 2.5

Probability of Over 2.5: 48.8%

Corners

Expected total corners: 9.74

More corners: Torino (51.4% home / 48.6% away)

Favorite Avoids Defeat

Favorite: Torino

Yes

Probability Torino wins or draws: 70.0%

Higher base-rate market — favourites historically avoid defeat ~75.6% of the time regardless of any model, so treat this probability as a fine-tuned adjustment around that baseline, not as a standalone insight. See Model Info for the honest accuracy-vs-baseline breakdown.

Prediction Insights

Match Result No strong lean Outcomes are close together -- the model doesn't see a clear favourite. (37.0% model probability) Low

Both Teams to Score Yes (59.0% model probability) High

Favorite Avoids Defeat Torino win or draw Higher base-rate market: favourites in this league lose outright only ~25-30% of the time. (70.0% model probability) High

These are model-derived probability leans, not guaranteed outcomes — football has high inherent variance and even well-calibrated models miss regularly. For research/ educational use only; this is not betting advice.