Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov — Tennis Prediction

2026-08-13 · 04:00 · Cincinnati Open · Round 1 · Hard · level M

Match winner

Adrian Mannarino: 41.7%

Denis Shapovalov: 58.3%

Model: xgb_logistic_vote · data high · best of 3

Other markets

Total sets 2.5: Over 30.0% / Under 70.0%
Adrian Mannarino to win a set: 55.0%
Denis Shapovalov to win a set: 70.0%
Projected total games: 24.3
Games margin (Adrian Mannarino − Denis Shapovalov): -2.2 · line ±3.5

Analysis

Overall Elo: 1549.0 vs 1597.0
Surface Elo (Hard): 1567.0 vs 1664.0
H2H meetings: 3 (P1 win rate 33.0%)

Estimates only — not betting advice.