Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar — Tennis Prediction
2026-08-15 · 04:00 · Cincinnati Open · Round 2 · Hard · level M
Match winner
Denis Shapovalov: 41.6%
Rafael Jodar: 58.4%
Model: xgb_logistic_vote · data high · best of 3
Other markets
- Total sets 2.5: Over 33.0% / Under 67.0%
- Denis Shapovalov to win a set: 54.0%
- Rafael Jodar to win a set: 76.0%
- Projected total games: 24.2
- Games margin (Denis Shapovalov − Rafael Jodar): -2.9 · line ±3.5
Analysis
- Overall Elo: 1597.0 vs 1746.0
- Surface Elo (Hard): 1664.0 vs 1573.0
- H2H meetings: 1 (P1 win rate 100.0%)
Estimates only — not betting advice.